Girona vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction, Stats & H2H

If there’s one La Liga fixture that lays bare the gap between a top-four push and a relegation fight, it’s Girona vs Atlético Madrid. Diego Simeone’s side sit fourth, chasing Champions League football, while Girona languish 19th and desperate for points.

League positions: Atlético Madrid 4th, Girona 19th ·
Head-to-head record: Atlético Madrid 7 wins, Girona 1 win, 5 draws ·
Last match result: Atlético Madrid 1-0 Girona (May 17, 2026) ·
Season meetings: 2 matches this season

Four key facts, one pattern: Atlético Madrid dominate nearly every statistical category against Girona.

What is the prediction for Girona vs Atlético Madrid?

Expert predictions

• Atlético Madrid are favorites: APWin gives them a 59% overall win rate in La Liga, while Girona sit at 19% (APWin).
• Forebet expects a low-scoring affair, predicting under 2.5 goals with a tight margin (Forebet).
• AiScore’s form block shows Atleti averaging 2.4 goals per match in their last five games, compared to Girona’s 0.8 (AiScore).

Betting odds

• Market consensus favors Atlético Madrid: odds reflect their higher league position and superior head-to-head record.
• Draw odds remain attractive given five draws in 13 meetings.

Score prediction

• Probable outcome: Atlético Madrid 1-0 or 2-0, consistent with recent form.

The implication: every metric points to an Atlético victory, but Girona’s desperation could make this tighter than the odds suggest.

Where can I watch Girona vs Atlético Madrid live?

Streaming services

• Matches are available on La Liga’s official streaming platforms and ESPN+, according to BBC Sport.
• Check local listings for ESPN broadcasts in your region.

TV channels

• In the UK, Sky Sports regularly airs La Liga fixtures; Sky Sports covered the most recent match.
• In Spain, Movistar LaLiga holds broadcast rights.

The catch: streaming availability often depends on your location, so check official La Liga channels ahead of kickoff.

What was the result of the last Girona vs Atlético Madrid match?

Last match details

• Date: May 17, 2026
• Score: Atlético Madrid 1-0 Girona (halftime 1-0) (SoccerPunter)
• Goal scorer: Antoine Griezmann provided the assist, confirming the winner.
• Possession split: BBC Sport reported Atleti holding 56.4% possession to Girona’s 43.6% (BBC Sport).

Recent form

• AiScore’s last-five form: Atlético — 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses; Girona — 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses (AiScore).

The pattern: Atleti’s defensive solidity often smothers Girona’s attack, with the side conceding just 1.2 goals per game in recent form versus Girona’s 1.6 (AiScore).

What are the head-to-head stats between Girona and Atlético Madrid?

Five key categories, one clear trend: Atlético Madrid have dominated this fixture since Girona’s La Liga promotion.

What this means: Girona often have more of the ball and take more shots, yet Atlético’s ruthlessness in front of goal — and resilience at the back — converts chances into wins.

What are the expected lineups for Girona vs Atlético Madrid?

Projected starting XI

• Atlético Madrid (4-4-2): Oblak; Molina, Giménez, Hermoso, Reinildo; De Paul, Koke, Barrios, Lino; Griezmann, Álvarez. (AiScore)
• Girona (4-3-3): Gazzaniga; A. Martínez, D. López, Blind, Gutiérrez; Herrera, Romeu, Martín; Tsygankov, Stuani, Danjuma. (FootyStats)

Injury updates

• Girona may rotate due to their relegation battle; key midfielder Yangel Herrera is doubtful.
• Atlético have a near-full squad; only Thomas Lemar remains sidelined long-term.

The trade-off: rotation could weaken Girona’s cohesion, but a fresh lineup might bring energy against a top-four opponent.

Timeline

• 2017: First La Liga meeting between Girona and Atlético Madrid following Girona’s promotion (FootyStats).
• 2025-26 season: Two matches scheduled: home and away.
• May 17, 2026: Most recent match: Atlético Madrid 1-0 Girona (SoccerPunter).

Clarity section

Quotes from the match context

“Atlético Madrid have won 7 of the 13 head-to-head encounters, scoring 29 goals to Girona’s 14 — a dominance that spans both home and away fixtures.”

FootyStats

“In the most recent match, Atlético Madrid recorded 19 shots to Girona’s 2, and 11 shots on target to Girona’s 1, illustrating a clear attacking disparity.”

BBC Sport

“Girona’s overall goals-per-match figure stands at 2.81, while Atlético Madrid’s is 2.71 — a slim difference that makes their 59% win rate all the more telling.”

APWin

Summary

For Girona, avoiding relegation means stealing points from sides like Atlético — a task that has proven nearly impossible historically. For Atlético Madrid, every dropped point now could cost them a Champions League spot. The choice for both sides is clear: Girona must turn ball possession into goals, or their 19th-place status will become permanent.

For a deeper dive into their historical meetings, check out this detailed head-to-head analysis covering all 14 encounters between the two sides.

Frequently asked questions